![\"\"](\".\/wp-content\/uploads\/hibaidu\/4f3e9f8e51508aa8503d922a.jpg\")
\u200d<\/p>\n\u200d<\/p>\n
\u4e09\u56fd\u6740\u724c\u79cd\u5206\u7c7b<\/p>\n
\u4e09\u56fd\u6740\u4e00\u5171\u6709108\u5f20\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d30\u5f20\u6740\uff0821\u5f20\u9ed1\u6740\uff0c9\u5f20\u7ea2\u6740\uff0c70%\u9ed1\uff09\u300115\u95ea\uff08\u5168\u7ea2\uff09\u30018\u6843\uff08\u5168\u7ea2\uff09\u30016\u8fc7\u6cb3\u62c6 \u6865\u30015\u987a\u624b\u7275\u7f8a\u30014\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\u30013\u5357\u86ee\u5165\u4fb5\u30013\u51b3\u6597\u30013\u4e50\u4e0d\u601d\u8700\u30013\u65e0\u61c8\u53ef\u51fb\u30012\u95ea\u7535\u30012\u4e94\u8c37\u4e30\u767b\u30012\u501f\u5200\u6740\u4eba\u30011\u4e07\u7bad\u9f50\u53d1\u30011\u6843\u56ed\u7ed3\u4e49\uff1b\u88c5\u5907\u517120\u4ef6 \uff0860%\u4e3a\u9ed1\u8272\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d+1\/-1\u9a6c\u54043\u5339\uff0c11\u628a\u6b66\u5668\uff08\u8bf8\u845b\u8fde\u5f292\u628a\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u54041\uff09\u30013\u9632\u5177\uff082\u516b\u5366\u9635\u30011\u4ec1\u738b\u76fe\uff09<\/p>\n
\u4e00\u4e9b\u57fa \u672c\u60c5\u51b5\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5224\u5b9a\uff1a<\/p>\n
1.\u4ec1\u738b\u76fe\u548c\u516b\u5366\u76fe\uff0c\u9009\u54ea\u4e2a\u6bd4\u8f83\u597d\uff1f\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u662f\u56e0\u4eba\u56e0\u5f62\u5f0f\u800c\u5f02\u7684\u3002\u4e00\u822c\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u9ed1\u6740\u670970%\uff0c\u800c\u516b\u5366\u5224 \u5b9a\u6982\u7387\u4e3a50%\uff08\u7ea2\u9ed1\u724c\u540454\u5f20\uff09\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4ec1\u738b\u76fe\u7684\u9632\u5fa1\u529b\u6bd4\u516b\u5366\u76fe\u9ad8\u4e00\u70b9\uff0c\u4f46\u6709\u51e0\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u8981\u7279\u6b8a\u5bf9\u5f85\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n
a) \u5982\u679c\u4f60\u9009\u62e9\u7684 \u4eba\u7269\u662f\u90ed\u5609\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u9009\u62e9\u516b\u5366\u76fe\u5427\uff0c\u51e1\u662f\u5224\u5b9a\u7684\u724c\u90fd\u5f52\u4f60\u6240\u6709\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\u5f53\u4f60\u6709\u4e86\u516b\u5366\u76fe\uff0c\u522b\u4eba\u6253\u4f60\u53ea\u662f\u7ed9\u4f60\u9001\u724c\u3002\u8fd9\u65f6\u5019\u4f1a\u6709\u4e00\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u6bd4\u8f83\u6709\u610f\u601d\uff0c\u4f60\u7684\u961f\u53cb\u88c5\u5907\u4e86 \u8fde\u5f29\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u8ba9\u4ed6\u653b\u51fb\u4f60\uff0c\u5f53\u4f60\u5224\u5b9a\u5931\u8d25\u5e76\u4e14\u6263\u8840\u6478\u724c\u540e\uff0c\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c06\u6740\u518d\u7ed9\u961f\u53cb\uff0c\u5475\u5475\uff0c\u6709\u70b9\u53d8\u6001\u4e86\u2026\u2026<\/p>\n
b) \u5982\u679c\u6709\u53f8\u9a6c\u61ff\u5728\u573a\uff0c\u8981\u8003\u8651\u4e0b\u4ed6\u662f\u5426\u548c\u4f60\u662f\u961f\u53cb\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u662f\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8003\u8651\u7528\u516b\u5366\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u662f\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u516b\u5366\u5c31\u53d8\u6210\u5783\u573e\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n
c) \u5982\u679c \u6709\u5173\u7fbd\u5728\u573a\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4e0d\u662f\u961f\u53cb\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u8981\u6ce8\u610f\u4e86\u3002\u5173\u7fbd\u670954\u5f20\u7ea2\u8272\u7684\u724c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6740\uff0c\u8fd8\u670921\u5f20\u9ed1\u8272\u7684\u6740\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8fd9\u53f7\u4eba\u7269\uff0c\u4ed6\u670972%\u7684\u7ea2\u6740\uff0c\u4f60\u7684\u4ec1\u738b\u76fe\u8fd8\u662f\u8003\u8651\u6362\u6210\u516b \u5366\u5427\u3002<\/p>\n
d) \u5982\u679c\u6709\u8d75\u4e91\u5728\u573a\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4e0d\u662f\u961f\u53cb\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u4e5f\u8981\u6ce8\u610f\u4e86\u3002\u8d75\u4e91\u670945\u5f20\u6740\uff0824\u5f20\u7ea2\u6740\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d15\u5f20\u7ea2\u95ea\uff09\uff0c\u7ea2\u8272\u6740\u7684\u6982 \u7387\u4e3a53.3%\uff0c\u4ec1\u738b\u76fe\u5c31\u4e0d\u592a\u597d\u7528\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n
e) \u6700\u540e\u8981\u6ce8\u610f\u4e00\u70b9\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u4ec1\u738b\u76fe\u662f\u6ca1\u6709\u51e0\u7387\u7684\uff0c\u5f53\u5173\u7fbd\u8d75\u4e91\u6740\u4f60\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u90fd\u4f1a\u51fa\u7ea2\u6740\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4ece\u5b9e\u8df5\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u78b0\u5230\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u4eba\uff0c\u4ec1\u738b\u76fe\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6446\u8bbe\u3002<\/p>\n
2.\u88ab\u95ea\u7535\u5288\u4e2d\u7684\u6982\u7387\u662f\u591a\u5c11\uff1f\u5475\u5475\uff0c\u78b0\u5230\u53f8\u9a6c\u61ff\u5728\u573a\uff0c\u8981\u4e0d\u5c31\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u4f60\u5934\u4e0a\u9876\u4e86\u907f\u96f7\u9488\uff0c\u8981\u4e0d\u5c31\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u4f60\u5c31\u662f\u907f\u96f7\u9488\uff0c\u57fa\u672c\u6ca1\u6709\u6982\u7387\u3002\u5728\u4e00\u822c\u60c5 \u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u9ed1\u68432\u5230\u9ed1\u68439\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u724c\uff0c\u4e00\u5171\u670917\u5f20\uff08\u5176\u4e2d5\u5f20\u6740\uff0c4\u5f20\u6b66\u5668\uff0c1\u5f20\u9632\u5177\uff0c1\u5339+1\u9a6c\uff0c6\u6761\u9526\u56ca\uff09\uff0c\u51e0\u7387\u4e3a15.74%\uff0c\u4ece\u6570\u5b66\u671f\u671b\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31 \u662f\u64786\u5f20\u724c\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u6709\u4e00\u5f20\u5c31\u662f\uff0c\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a6\u8f6e\u5224\u5b9a\u91cc\u9762\u5c31\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u4e00\u4e2a\u907f\u96f7\u9488\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u6e38\u620f\u65f6\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u6b66\u5668\u3001\u9632\u5177\u3001\u9a6c\u57fa\u672c\u90fd\u4f1a\u88ab\u88c5\u5907\u6389\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u51fa\u73b0\u5728\u724c\u5806\u91cc\uff0c \u6240\u4ee5\u5176\u6982\u7387\u4f1a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u4f4e\u523010.2%\u3002<\/p>\n
3.\u88ab\u4e50\u4e0d\u601d\u8700\u7684\u6982\u7387\u662f\u591a\u5c11\uff1f108\u5f20\u724c\u4e2d\u5171\u670927\u5f20\u7ea2\u6843\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d1\u5f20\u6b66\u5668\uff0c1\u5339+1 \u9a6c\uff0c1\u5339-1\u9a6c\u662f\u7ea2\u6843\uff0c\u9003\u8131\u4e50\u4e0d\u601d\u8700\u7684\u6982\u7387\u662f25%\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5b9e\u9645\u6e38\u620f\u4e2d\uff0c\u6b66\u5668\u3001\u9a6c\u4f1a\u88ab\u88c5\u5907\u6389\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u9003\u8131\u7684\u51e0\u7387\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\u523022.2%\u3002<\/p>\n
4. \u5f53\u624b\u4e0a\u6709\u6740\u6709\u95ea\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5e94\u8be5\u7559\u4ec0\u4e48\u724c\u6bd4\u8f83\u5bb9\u6613\u4e0d\u6389\u8840\uff1f\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e5f\u662f\u8981\u89c6\u573a\u4e0a\u60c5\u51b5\u800c\u5b9a\u7684\uff0c<\/p>\n
a) \u5982\u679c\u6709\u76fe\u88c5\u5907\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u9009\u6740\uff0c\u5e9f\u8bdd\u2026\u2026^-^\uff0c\u5475\u5475\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u90fd\u4f1a\u5fd8\u6389\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u88c5\u5907\u3002<\/p>\n
b) \u5982\u679c\u662f\u7504\u59ec\uff0c\u5c31\u9009\u9ed1\u6740\uff0c\u9ed1\u6740\u65e2\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f5c \u6740\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u4f5c\u95ea\u3002\u540c\u7406\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u662f\u5173\u7fbd\uff0c\u5c31\u7559\u95ea\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u7684\u95ea\u90fd\u662f\u7ea2\u7684\uff0c\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6740\u3002<\/p>\n
c) \u5bf9\u4e8e\u5176\u4ed6\u4e00\u822c\u4eba\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u5c31\u8981\u8003\u8651\u573a\u4e0a\u7684\u4f4d \u7f6e\uff0c\u548c\u4f60\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u662f\u4e3b\u516c\uff0c\u7559\u95ea\u5427\uff0c\u5927\u5bb6\u90fd\u4f1a\u6253\u4f60\u7684\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u7684\u8fb9\u4e0a\u90fd\u662f\u654c\u4eba\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u7559\u95ea\u5427\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e24\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u5916\uff0c\u8fd8\u8981\u8003\u8651\u573a\u4e0a\u662f\u5426\u6709\u66f9\u64cd\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c0f\u5b50\u5fd2\u6050\u6016 \u4e86\uff0c3\u5f20\u5357\u86ee\u5165\u4fb5\u548c1\u5f20\u4e07\u7bad\u9f50\u53d1\uff0c\u4f1a\u88ab\u4ed6\u6269\u6563\u62106\u5f20\u5357\u86ee\u5165\u4fb5\u548c2\u5f20\u4e07\u7bad\u9f50\u53d1\uff0c\u800c\u5357\u86ee\u5165\u4fb5\u7684\u51e0\u7387\u662f75%\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u624b\u5934\u6ca1\u6709\u65e0\u61c8\u53ef\u51fb\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u8003\u8651\u62ff\u6740\u5427\uff0c\u514d\u5f97\u88ab AOE\u6b7b\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5404\u4e2a\u4eba\u7269\u7684\u7279\u8272\u5206\u6790\uff0c<\/p>\n
\u7206\u53d1\u529b\u89d2\u8272\u7bc7\uff0c<\/p>\n
1.\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\uff0c\u7206\u53d1\u529b\u60ca\u4eba\u7684\u9009 \u624b\u3002\u5728\u8ba8\u8bba\u7206\u53d1\u529b\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc\u5148\u505a\u4e00\u4e2a\u7533\u660e\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc\u7684\u7206\u53d1\u529b\u90fd\u662f\u5f00\u7bc7\u7206\u53d1\u529b\uff0c\u540e\u671f\u7684\u7206\u53d1\u529b\u4e2a\u4eba\u89c9\u5f97\u610f\u4e49\u4e0d\u5927\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u60c5\u51b5\u590d\u6742\uff0c\u6ca1\u6cd5\u5b50\u505a\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ed3\u8bba\u3002\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u7684\u7206\u53d1\u529b \u662f\u4e2a\u4eba\u611f\u89c9\u6700\u5927\u7684\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u7528\u6570\u5b57\u8bf4\u8bdd\uff0c\u9526\u56ca\u4e00\u5171\u670935\u6761\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d3\u6761\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4e0d\u80fd\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\uff081\u6843\u56ed\uff0c2\u501f\u5200\uff09\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc\u5047\u8bbe\u90fd\u80fd\u4f7f\u7528\u3002\u5728\u8fd935\u6761\u9526\u56ca\u4e2d\uff0c\u67094\u4e2a\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f \u6709\uff08\u53ef\u4ee5\u63623\u5f20\uff09\uff0c5\u4e2a\u987a\u624b\u7275\u7f8a\u30012\u4e2a\u4e94\u8c37\u4e30\u767b\uff08\u53ef\u4ee5\u63622\u5f20\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u4f59\u7684\u9526\u56ca\u53ef\u4ee5\u63621\u5f20\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c1\u6761\u9526\u56ca\u724c\u5c31\u7b49\u6548\u4e8e4\/35*3+7 \/35*2+24\/35*1=1.43\u5f20\u724c\u3002\u5728\u5f00\u5c40\u540e\u8f6e\u5230\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u624b\u724c\u5c06\u67096\u5f20\uff0c\u7528\u6392\u5217\u7ec4\u5408\u8fdb\u884c\u8ba1\u7b97\u5f97\u5230\u5982\u4e0b\u7ed3\u8bba\uff0c<\/p>\n
a) 0\u5f20\u9526\u56ca\u7684 \u6982\u7387\u4e3a8.9%<\/p>\n
b) 1\u5f20\u9526\u56ca\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4e3a27.5%<\/p>\n
c) 2\u5f20\u9526\u56ca\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4e3a33.8%<\/p>\n
d) 3\u5f20\u9526\u56ca\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4e3a 21.3%<\/p>\n
e) 4\u5f20\u9526\u56ca\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4e3a7.2%<\/p>\n
f) 5\u5f20\u9526\u56ca\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4e3a1.2%<\/p>\n
g) 6\u5f20\u9526\u56ca\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4e3a0.85%<\/p>\n
\u9171 \u7d2b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f97\u5230\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u5b9e\u9645\u624b\u724c\u6570\u91cf\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u671f\u671b\u503c\uff0c<\/p>\n
1*0.275+2*0.338+3*0.213+4*0.072+5*0.012+6*0.0085=1.913<\/p>\n
\u8003 \u8651\u5230\u6bcf\u5f20\u9526\u56ca\u7b49\u6548\u4e8e1.43\u5f20\u724c\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u7684\u624b\u724c\u6570\u5e94\u4e3a1.913*1.43=2.74\uff0c\u5c06\u8fd13\u5f20\u724c\u3002\u8fd9\u91cc\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5b9a\u4e49\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u7684\u7206\u53d1\u529b\u4e3a2.74++\uff0c \u8fd9\u91cc\u7684++\u8574\u542b\u4e86\u4e24\u4e2a\u610f\u601d\uff0c<\/p>\n
1) \u7206\u53d1\u529b\u7684\u77ac\u95f4\u6700\u5927\u503c\u4f1a\u5f88\u5927\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u770b\u5230\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u624b\u91cc\u6709\u5c06\u8fd120\u724c\uff0c\u90a3\u4e5f\u522b\u9707\u60ca\uff0c\u90a3\u4e2a\u662f\u5b8c\u5168\u6709 \u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n
2) \u8fd9\u4e9b\u7206\u724c\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u4f7f\u7528\u6389\u7684\u9526\u56ca\u5c06\u4f1a\u9020\u6210\u7684\u7834\u574f\u529b\u4e5f\u662f\u4e0d\u5bb9\u5ffd\u89c6\u7684\uff0c\u5728\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u53ea\u662f\u628a\u6240\u6709\u7684\u9526\u56ca\u90fd\u7528\u6389\u540e\uff0c\u7ecf\u5e38\u4f1a\u770b \u5230\u53d7\u4f24\u7684\u4e3b\u516c\u53ea\u6709\u5f88\u5c11\u7684\u624b\u724c\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u88ab\u4e50\u4e86\u2026\u2026<\/p>\n
\u9644\u5e26\u8bf4\u4e0b\u4e3b\u516c\u78b0\u5230\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u7684\u6253\u6cd5\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\u6211\u78b0\u5230\u5f88\u591a\u4e3b\u516c\u4e0a\u6765\u5c31\u88c5\u5907\u6b66\u5668\u780d\u9ec4\u6708\u51e0 \u5200\uff0c\u60f3\u6d88\u8017\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u7684\u624b\u724c\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u81f3\u5c11\u7ed9\u4e88\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u5176\u5b9e\u8fd9\u662f\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u6253\u6cd5\u3002\u81f3\u5c11\u9996\u8f6e\u5343\u4e07\u4e0d\u8981\u88c5\u5907\u6b66\u5668\uff0c\u4e0d\u8981\u968f\u4fbf\u6253\u51fb\u4efb\u4f55\u4eba\uff0c\u9171\u7d2b\u8f6e\u5230\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u51fa\u624b\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u6291 \u5236\u501f\u5200\u6740\u4eba\u548c\u6843\u56ed\u7ed3\u4e49\u9526\u56ca\u6765\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6291\u5236\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u51e0\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n
2.\u7504\u59ec\uff0c\u5168\u7a0b\u7206\u53d1\u529b\u9009\u624b\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6bd4\u8f83\u5bb9\u6613\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c108\u5f20\u724c\u91cc\u9762\u6709 \u7ea2\u9ed1\u5404\u4e00\u534a\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\u6bcf\u6b21\u5224\u5b9a\u6210\u529f\u7684\u51e0\u7387\u662f50%\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc\u4e5f\u505a\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u5b66\u671f\u671b\uff0c<\/p>\n
1*0.5+1*0.52+1*0.53+1*0.54+1*0.55\u2026+\u2026\u2026\uff0c \u53ef\u4ee5\u5f97\u5230\u8fd1\u4f3c\u4e8e1\uff0c\u540c\u6837\u7684\u5b9a\u4e49\u7504\u59ec\u7684\u7206\u53d1\u529b\u4e3a1+\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc+\u8574\u542b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u610f\u601d\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u53ef\u80fd\u624b\u724c\u4f1aRP\u7206\u53d1\u5f97\u5230\u5f88\u591a\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u53f8\u9a6c\u61ff\u6539\u5224\u5b9a\u540e\u62ff\u5230\u66f4\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n
PS\uff1a81 \u697cCrosis\u8865\u5145\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u724c\u6a21\u578b\u4e0d\u662f\u65e0\u9650\uff0c\u800c\u662f108\u5f20\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u671f\u671b\u662f0.98112~<\/p>\n
3.\u9ec4\u76d6\uff0c\u524d\u671f\u7206\u53d1\u529b\u9009\u624b\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5c31 \u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e86\uff0c\u4e0a\u624b\u624b\u724c4\u5f20\uff0c\u64782\u5f20\uff0c\u81ea\u635f3\u70b9\u8840\u64786\u5f20\uff0c\u603b\u5171\u53ef\u4ee5\u670912\u5f20\u724c\uff0c\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\u51e0\u7387\u6bd4\u8f83\u4f4e\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc\u5ffd\u7565\u4e86\u3002\u7206\u6843\u7684\u51e0\u7387\u662f7.4%\uff0c\u7206\u6843\u7684\u8bdd\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u591a \u4e00\u5f20\u724c\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u7206\u724c\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u671f\u671b\u662f2*0.926+3*0.074=2.074\uff0c\u4e00\u5171\u662f3\u70b9\u8840\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u603b\u5171\u4e3a6.22\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u9ec4\u76d6\u7684\u724c\u662f\u57fa\u672c\u786e\u5b9a\u7684\uff0c\u603b\u5171\u4e5f\u5c3112 \u5f20\uff0c\u57fa\u672c\u4e0d\u4f1a\u591a\uff0c12\u5f20\u724c\u80fd\u505a\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u5c31\u6bd4\u8f83\u6709\u9650\u4e86\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4e07\u4e00\u6ca1\u6709\u505a\u6210\uff0c\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u56de\u5408\u5c31\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u6d88\u5931\u4e86\u3002\u6839\u636e1\u8840\u63622\u724c\u7684\u539f\u5219\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc\u53ef\u4ee5\u5b9a\u4e49\u9ec4\u76d6\u7684\u7206\u53d1\u529b\u662f 0.22\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u7206\u53d1\u529b\u6bd4\u8f83\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u752812\u5f20\u724c\u6765\u7206\u8fde\u5f29\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4e5f\u662f\u53d7\u5230\u73a9\u5bb6\u559c\u7231\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u3002\u8fd9\u91cc\u4e5f\u987a\u4fbf\u8bf4\u4e0b\u4e3b\u516c\u78b0\u5230\u9ec4\u76d6\u7684\u6253\u6cd5\uff0c\u5f53\u7136\u548c\u5904\u7406\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u662f\u76f8\u53cd \u7684\uff0c\u8981\u5c3d\u91cf\u6263\u53bb\u9ec4\u76d6\u7684\u8840\u91cf\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u9ec4\u76d6\u5931\u53bb\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n
4.\u9646\u900a\uff0c\u540e\u671f\u7206\u53d1\u529b\u9009\u624b\u3002\u9646\u900a\u5c5e\u4e8e\u540e\u671f\u7206\u53d1\u578b\u9009\u624b\uff0c\u8fd9\u7c7b\u4eba\u7269\u6bd4\u8f83\u9002 \u5408\u5f53\u5185\u5978\u3002\u8fde\u8425\u7684\u6280\u80fd\u80fd\u591f\u4f7f\u5f97\u4ed6\u5728\u540e\u671f\u5355\u6311\u4e3b\u516c\u3002\u8fde\u8425\u7684\u7206\u53d1\u6982\u7387\u6700\u5927\u4e3a\u6240\u6709\u7684\u9526\u56ca\uff0c\u6740\uff0c\u6843\u90fd\u80fd\u591f\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u8bf4\u4e0b\u6700\u5927\uff0c\u6700\u5c0f\u51e0\u7387\u5b9a\u4e49\uff0c<\/p>\n
1) \u6700\u5927\u51e0\u7387\uff1a\u6740\uff08\u6709\u8fde\u5f29\uff09\uff0c\u6843\uff08\u81ea\u5df1\u635f\u8840\uff09\uff0c\u987a\u624b\u7275\u7f8a\uff0c\u6843\u56ed\u7ed3\u4e49\uff0c\u95ea\u7535\uff08\u4f1a\u4f24\u5230\u81ea\u5df1\uff09\uff0c\u501f\u5200\u6740\u4eba\uff0c\u51b3\u6597\uff08\u4f1a\u4f24\u5230\u81ea\u5df1\uff09\uff0c\u5357\u86ee\u5165\u4fb5\uff08\u4f24\u5230\u961f\u53cb\uff09\uff0c\u4e07\u7bad\u9f50\u53d1\uff08\u4f24 \u5230\u961f\u53cb\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u4f59\u9526\u56ca\u548c\u88c5\u5907\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u95ea\u548c\u65e0\u61c8\u53ef\u51fb\u4e0d\u80fd\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u7206\u53d1\u6982\u7387\u4e3a83.3%<\/p>\n
2) \u6700\u5c0f\u51e0\u7387\uff1a37\u5f20\u9526\u56ca\u548c\u88c5\u5907\u4e00\u5b9a\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f \u7528\uff0c\u6982\u7387\u4e3a34.4%<\/p>\n
\u53ef\u89c1\u9646\u900a\u7684\u540e\u671f\u7206\u53d1\u51e0\u7387\u662f\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\uff0c\u8981\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u573a\u4e0a\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u4ed6\u662f\u540e\u671f\u7206\u53d1\u9009\u624b\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u7206\u53d1\u6982\u7387\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc\u4e0d\u505a\u7206\u53d1\u529b \u6307\u6807\u6bd4\u8f83\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6b66\u5c06\u7bc7<\/p>\n
5.\u5173\u7fbd\uff0c\u6740\u4f24\u578b\u9009\u624b\u3002108\u5f20\u724c\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e00\u534a\u7ea2\u8272\u4e3a\u6740\uff0c\u5916\u52a0\u9ed1\u674021\u5f20\uff0c\u603b \u6740\u6570\u91cf\u53ef\u8fbe75\u5f20\u6740\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u624b\u4e0a\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6ca1\u6709\u6740\u3002<\/p>\n
6.\u8d75\u4e91\uff0c\u653b\u9632\u517c\u5907\u578b\u9009\u624b\u300245\u5f20\u6740\/\u95ea\uff0c\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u4ec0\u4e48\u89c9\u5f97\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u80dc\u4efb\u3002<\/p>\n
7.\u5f20\u98de\uff0c\u6740\u4f24\u529b\u6050\u6016\u578b\u9009\u624b\uff0c\u518d\u6709\u4e86\u4e08\u516b\u957f\u77db\uff0c\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u65e0\u654c\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n
8.\u5415\u5e03\uff0c\u4f24\u5bb3\u578b\u9009\u624b\uff0c\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u4e00\u51fa\u624b\u5c31\u662f\u6389 \u8840\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5176\u4ed6\u7bc7<\/p>\n
9.\u5927\u4e54\uff0c\u5c01\u76d6\u578b\u9009\u624b\u300227\u5f20\u65b9\u5757\uff0c\u6392\u5217\u7ec4\u5408\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\u53ea\u670917%\u7684\u6982\u7387\u624b\u5934\u4e00\u5f20\u65b9\u5757\u90fd\u6ca1 \u6709\uff0c83%\u7684\u6982\u7387\u81f3\u5c11\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c01\u63891\u4e2a\u4eba\u3002\u518d\u914d\u5408\u53f8\u9a6c\u61ff\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5bf9\u624b\u6765\u8bf4\u7b80\u76f4\u662f\u5669\u68a6\u2026\u2026<\/p>\n
10.\u534e\u4f57\uff0c\u652f\u63f4\u578b\u9009\u624b\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4eba\u7269\u5c31\u4e0d\u5206\u6790 \u4e86\uff0c\u4e0d\u51fa\u724c\u65f650%\u662f\u6843\uff0c\u51fa\u724c\u65f6\uff0c100%\u662f\u6843\uff0c\u7b80\u76f4\u662f\u725b\u76ae\u7cd6\u554a\u3002<\/p>\n
11.\u7518\u5b81\uff0c\u62c6\u724c\u578b\u9009\u624b\u300254\u5f20\u9ed1\u8272\u82b1\u8272\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8fc7\u6cb3\u62c6\u6865\uff0c \u5916\u52a01\u5f20\u7ea2\u8272\u7684\u8fc7\u6cb3\u62c6\u6865\uff0c\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a50%\u7684\u8fc7\u6cb3\u62c6\u6865\uff0c\u60f3\u4e0d\u62c6\u4e5f\u96be\u554a\u3002<\/p>\n
\u518d\u6709\u7684\u5176\u4ed6\u4eba\u7269\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u6ca1\u6709\u5565\u6982\u7387\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\u5c31\u4e0d\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e86<\/p>\n
\u5f88 \u5f3a\u5927~~~<\/p>\n
\u8fd8\u6709\u66f4\u5f3a\u5927\u7684~~<\/p>\n
\u6458\u8981\uff1a
\n\u672c\u6587\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e86\u4e09\u56fd\u6740\u4e2d\u4e00 \u4e9b\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u6982\u7387\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\uff1a\u7504\u59ec\u6d1b\u795e\u7684\u671f\u671b\u4e3a1\uff0c\u4e0e\u5468\u745c\u786e\u5b9a\u76841\u5f20\u76f8\u7b49\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u53ea\u6bd4\u8f83\u6d1b\u795e\u548c\u82f1\u59ff\u4e24\u4e2a\u6280\u80fd\uff0c\u524d\u8005\u662f\u5360\u4f18\u7684\u3002\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u7684\u671f\u671b\u503c \u5e76\u4e0d\u50cf\u60f3\u8c61\u7684\u90a3\u4e48\u9ad8\uff0c\u4ec5\u4e3a0.798\u3002\u9ec4\u76d6\u7684\u521d\u59cb\u5e73\u5747\u624b\u724c\u5927\u7ea6\u4e3a15\u5f20\uff0c\u5468\u6cf0\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u65f6\u95f4\u662f\u7b2c5\u6b21\u5224\u5b9a\uff0c\u8ba1\u7b97\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u5f97\uff0c\u5468\u6cf0\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6b7b\u4ea1\u65f6\u95f4\u662f 5.43\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7b80\u4ecb\uff1a
\n\u4eca\u5929\u6982\u7387\u8bba\u8bfe\u4e0a\uff0c\u8001\u5e08\u8bb2\u5230\u51e0\u4f55\u5206\u5e03\u65f6\u4e00\u65f6\u627e\u4e0d\u5230\u597d\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0c\u7ad9\u5728\u8bb2\u53f0\u4e0a\u53d1\u695e\uff0c\u800c\u6211\u5374\u6c89\u6d78\u5728\u4e86\u4e00\u6bb5\u7f8e\u597d\u7684\u56de\u5fc6\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002\u90a3\u662f\u7075\u5c71\u811a\u4e0b\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u9ed1\u98ce\u9ad8\u7684\u591c\u665a\uff0c \u6211\u4f5c\u4e3a\u7504\u59ec\u72ec\u6597\u4e3b\u516c\uff0c\u5c31\u5728\u9634\u8c0b\u5df2\u8d25\uff0c\u6ee1\u8840\u4e3b\u516c\u770b\u7740\u7ea2\u8840\u7684\u6211\u629a\u638c\u800c\u7b11\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u6211\u53d1\u52a8\u4e86\u6d1b\u795e\uff0c\u4e8e\u662f\u724c\u5c40\u4e0a\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u5982\u4e0b\u5e8f\u5217\uff1a\u9ed1\u7684\uff0c\u9ed1\u7684\uff0c\u9ed1\u7684\uff0c\u9ed1\u7684\uff0c\u9ed1\u7684\u2026\u2026\u4e3b \u516c\u5728\u4e00\u58f0\u9ad8\u8fc7\u4e00\u58f0\u7684\u60ca\u547c\u4e2d\u542b\u6068\u800c\u7ec8\u3002\u5e26\u7740\u5bf9\u7504\u59ec\u7684\u666f\u4ef0\uff0c\u6211\u5c1d\u8bd5\u7740\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e86\u4e00\u4e0b\u7504\u59ec\u6d1b\u795e\u7684\u671f\u671b\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u7ed3\u679c\u7adf\u7136\u4e0e\u9884\u60f3\u7684\u4e0d\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u4e8e\u662f\u6211\u53c8\u5bf9\u5176\u4ed6RP\u578b\u82f1\u96c4\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86 \u5206\u6790\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u5c31\u6709\u4e86\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6c34\u6587\u3002<\/p>\n
1.\u7504\u59ec\u4e0e\u5468\u745c\u7684\u6bd4\u8f83<\/p>\n
\u7504\u59ec \u8584\u5e78\u7684\u7f8e\u4eba
\n\u6d1b\u795e\uff1a\u56de\u5408\u5f00\u59cb\u9636\u6bb5,\u53ef\u8fdb\u884c\u4e3b\u52a8\u5224\u5b9a,\u82e5\u5224\u5b9a\u7ed3\u679c\u4e3a\u9ed1\u8272\u82b1\u8272,\u89c6\u4e3a\u5224\u5b9a\u6210\u529f,\u5219\u5c06\u8be5\u5224\u5b9a\u724c\u6536\u5f52\u624b\u724c,\u5e76\u53ef\u4ee5\u7ee7\u7eed\u5224\u5b9a;\u82e5\u7ed3\u679c\u4e3a\u7ea2\u8272\u82b1\u8272,\u89c6\u4e3a\u5224\u5b9a\u5931\u8d25,\u6280 \u80fd\u7ec8\u6b62.\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e0d\u65ad\u7684\u5224\u5b9a\u76f4\u5230\u4e0d\u613f\u610f\u7ee7\u7eed\u6216\u5224\u5b9a\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u53d8\u4e3a\u7ea2\u8272\u4e3a\u6b62.<\/p>\n
\u5468\u745c \u5927\u90fd\u7763
\n\u82f1\u59ff\uff1a\u6478\u724c\u9636\u6bb5\u6478\u4e09\u5f20\u724c<\/p>\n
\u516c\u747e\u7684\u6280\u80fd\u4e00\u76ee\u4e86\u7136\uff0c\u591a\u6478\u4e00\u5f20\u724c\uff0c\u800c\u7504\u59ec\u5c31\u8981\u7f57\u55e6\u7684\u591a\uff0c\u6982\u62ec\u8d77\u6765\u5c31\u662f\u9664\u4e86\u672c\u6765\u90a3\u4e24\u5f20\u4ee5\u5916\uff0c\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e00\u76f4\u6478\u76f4\u5230\u6478\u5230\u7ea2\u7684\u4e3a\u6b62\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u89c1\u8fc7\u4e00\u76f4\u88ab\u7ea2\u724c\u618b\u6b7b\u7684\u7504\u59ec\uff0c \u4e5f\u89c1\u8fc7\u9ed1\u724c\u5982\u96e8\u72b9\u5982\u795e\u52a9\u7684\u7504\u59ec\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u641e\u6e05\u695a\u7504\u59ec\u7684\u6280\u80fd\u5230\u5e95\u6709\u591a\u5927\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e00\u4e0b\u7504\u59ec\u989d\u5916\u6478\u724c\u6570\u91cf\u7684\u671f\u671b\u3002
\n\u7531\u6982\u7387\u8bba\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u53ef\u4ee5\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u7504\u59ec\u6478\u724c\u5f20\u6570X\u662f\u670d\u4ece\u51e0\u4f55\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u79bb\u6563\u968f\u673a\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u53c2\u6570p\u4e3a1\/2\u3002\u7528a\u8868\u793a\u7504\u59ec\u989d\u5916\u6478\u724c\u6570\u91cf\u7684\u671f\u671b\uff0c\u5219\u6709<\/p>\n
\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6570\u5217\u7684\u6c42\u548c\u5f88\u7b80\u5355<\/p>\n
\u8fd9\u8bf4\u660e\u7504\u59ec\u6d1b\u795e\u7684\u671f\u671b\u4e3a1\uff0c\u4e0e\u5468\u745c\u786e\u5b9a\u76841\u5f20\u76f8\u7b49\uff08\u4e4b \u524d\u6211\u89c9\u5f97\u7504\u59ec\u7684\u671f\u671b\u4f1a\u5c0f\u4e00\u4e9b\uff09\uff0c\u5355\u4ece\u671f\u671b\u503c\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u4e24\u8005\u6ca1\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u533a\u522b\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u8003\u8651\u5230\u4e09\u56fd\u6740\u7279\u6709\u7684\u6027\u8d28\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u8bf8\u845b\u8fde\u5f29\u7b49\u8bbe\u5907\u7684\u5b58\u5728\u6027\uff0c\u724c\u591a\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u5a01\u529b\u589e\u52a0\u5f97\u975e \u5e38\u4e4b\u5feb\uff0c\u73a9\u5bb6\u5b58\u5728\u7740\u4e00\u79cd\u98ce\u9669\u8ffd\u6c42\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\uff0c\u4e8e\u662f\u6709<\/p>\n
\u6027\u8d281. \u4e00\u822c\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u624b\u724c\u7684\u6548\u7528\u51fd\u6570u\u5173\u4e8e\u624b\u724c\u5f20\u6570x\u662f\u5355\u8c03\u9012\u589e\u7684\u51f8\u51fd\u6570\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7528\u51f8\u51fd\u6570\u7684\u6027\u8d28\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u96be\u8bc1\u660e\uff0c\u7504\u59ec\u7684\u6280\u80fd\u9020\u6210\u7684\u624b\u724c\u6548\u7528\u5927\u4e8e\u5468\u745c\u7684\u6548\u7528\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e00\u822c\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u53ea\u6bd4\u8f83\u6d1b\u795e\u548c\u82f1\u59ff\u4e24\u4e2a\u6280\u80fd\uff0c\u524d\u8005\u662f\u5360\u4f18\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n
2. \u66f4\u52a0\u62db\u6068\u7684\u6708\u82f1\u59d0<\/p>\n
\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1 \u5f52\u9690\u7684\u4fa0\u5973
\n\u96c6\u667a\uff1a\u5f53\u5979\u4f7f\u7528\u4e00\u5f20\u9526\u56ca\u724c\u540e\uff0c\u7acb\u5373\u4ece\u724c\u5806\u9876\u6478\u4e00\u5f20\u724c\u52a0\u5165\u624b\u724c\u3002<\/p>\n
\u76f8\u4fe1\u5927\u5bb6\u90fd\u6709\u770b\u7740\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u6253\u5355\u673a\u770b\u5230\u7761\u7740\u7684\u7ecf\u5386\uff0c\u6709\u4e86\u4e0a\u9762\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e5f\u5c1d\u8bd5\u7740\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e00\u4e0b\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u7684\u671f\u671b\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u9526\u56ca\u91cc\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u5f15\u4eba\u6ce8\u76ee\u7684\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e2a \u95ee\u9898\u5355\u72ec\u62ff\u51fa\u6765\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u7b80\u5316\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u505a\u5982\u4e0b\u5047\u8bbe\uff1a<\/p>\n
\u5047\u8bbe1. \u6478\u724c \u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u662f\u65e0\u653e\u56de\u62bd\u7b7e\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u4ece\u724c\u5806\u4e0a\u65b9\u6478\u5230\u67d0\u4e00\u79cd\u724c*\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027p*\u5c31\u662f\u8fd9\u79cd \u724c\u7684\u5f20\u6570\u5728\u603b\u5f20\u6570\u91cc\u5360\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u3002\u8fd9\u4e0d\u4ec5\u662f\u5bf9\u4e8e\u81ea\u5df1\u6478\u724c\u7684\u9636\u6bb5\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e5f\u5ffd\u7565\u4e86\u522b\u4eba\u624b\u4e2d\u6709\u4f60\u8981\u7684\u724c\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u3002\u5728\u7504\u59ec\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u7528\u5230\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u5047\u8bbe\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5047\u8bbe\u5f15 \u8d77\u7684\u8bef\u5dee\u662f\u5f88\u5c0f\u7684\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u8ba1\u7b97\u6240\u5f97\u7684\u671f\u671b\u4e00\u822c\u5f88\u5c0f\uff0c\u57281 \u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6478\u5230\u5f88\u591a\u5f20\u540c\u79cd\u724c\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5f88\u5c0f\uff0c\u4e0e\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5047\u8bbe\u7b26\u5408\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6211\u4eec\u9996\u5148\u8ba8\u8bba\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e00\u822c\u73a9\u5bb6\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002
\n\u7528p*\u8868\u793a\u67d0\u6b21\u6478\u724c\u6478\u5230\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\u7684\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u6709p*=a*\/s, a*\u662f\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\u7684\u5f20\u6570\uff0cs\u662f\u603b\u5f20\u6570\uff0c\u5728\u67d0\u6b21\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\u6478\u5230\u7684\u4e24\u5f20\u724c\u4e2d\u81f3\u5c11\u6709\u4e00\u5f20\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\u7684\u6982\u7387\u662f1-(1-p*)\u00d7(1-p*)\uff0c\u7531\u4e8ep*\u5f88\u5c0f\uff0c\u5c3d\u4f3c\u53d6\u4e3a 2p*\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u60c5\u51b5a*=4,s=109,p*=0.037. \u5b9a\u4e49n\u6b21\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\u7684\u724c\u4e2d\u8fd8\u6709\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e3an+1\u9636\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\uff0c\u4e8e\u662f\u4ece\u4e0a\u9762\u7684\u63a8\u7406\u4e2d\u6211\u4eec\u5f97\u5230\uff1a<\/p>\n
\u6027\u8d282. \u9ad8\u9636\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\u53ef\u4ee5\u5ffd\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e0b\u9762\u6211\u4eec\u5f00\u59cb\u8ba1\u7b97\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u9644\u52a0\u6478\u724c\u5f20\u6570\u7684\u671f\u671ba\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\u4e5f\u8981\u505a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5047\u8bbe\uff0c\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u4f1a\u5c06\u6240\u6709\u80fd\u7528\u6389\u7684\u9526\u56ca\u7528\u6389\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5ffd\u7565\u6240\u6709\u4e94\u8c37\u4e30\u767b\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff08\u592a\u5d29\u6e83\u4e86\uff09\u3002\u9996\u5148\u8ba1 \u7b97\u4f7f\u7528\u4e00\u5f20\u9526\u56ca\u540e\u96c6\u667a\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u989d\u5916\u5f20\u6570b\u3002\u7528p\u8868\u793a\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u4e0b\u4e00\u5f20\u6478\u5230\u975e\u5ef6\u65f6\u9526\u56ca\u7684\u6982\u7387\uff08\u4e0d\u5305\u62ec\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\uff09\u3002\u6839\u636e\u7c7b\u4f3c\u51e0\u4f55\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u6027\u8d28\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f97\u5230\u5173\u7cfb\uff1a
\nb=1+p\u00d7b+p*\u00d7(3+3b)
\n\u89e3\u51fab\u5f97\uff1a
\nb=(1+3p*)\/(1-p-3p*)
\n\u6e38\u620f\u4e2d\uff0cp=18\/109=0.165. \u6309\u8ba1\u7b97\u5668\u5f97b=1.53. \u7531\u6b64\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f00\u59cb\u8ba1\u7b97a.\uff08\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u7efc\u5408\u8003\u8651\u4e00\u822c\u9526\u56ca\u548c\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\u7684\u6d69\u5927\u5de5\u7a0b…\uff09<\/p>\n
a=p\u00d7p\u00d72b+2p\u00d7b+p*\u00d7p*\u00d72(2+b)+2p*\u00d7(2+b)-2p\u00d7p*(2+2b)
\n=0.798<\/p>\n
\u8ba1\u7b97\u7ed3\u679c\u4ee4\u4eba\u60ca\u8bb6\uff0c\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u7684\u671f\u671b\u503c\u5e76\u4e0d\u50cf\u60f3\u8c61\u7684\u90a3\u4e48\u9ad8\uff0c\u4ec5\u4e3a0.798\uff01\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd8\u4e0d\u5982\u5468\u745c\u548c\u8c82\u8749\u7684\u786e\u5b9a1\u5f20\uff0c \u7504\u59ec\u7684\u5e73\u57471\u5f20\u3002\u5173\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u6027\u8d281\u7ed9\u51fa\u89e3\u91ca\u3002\u4eceb>1\u53ef\u4ee5\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u4e00\u65e6\u6478\u5230\u4e00\u5f20\u9526\u56ca\uff0c\u6f5c\u529b\u662f\u5f88\u8db3\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u8f6e\u516d\u5f20\u624b \u724c\u65f6\u662f\u6781\u5176\u6050\u6016\u7684\u3002\u9ec4\u6708\u82f1\u7528\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u6362\u53d6\u4e86\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u7206\u53d1\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n
3. \u516c\u747e\uff0c\u8bf7\u97ad\u7b56\u6211\uff01<\/p>\n
\u5728\u4e09\u56fd\u6740\u6e38\u620f\u4e2d\uff0c\u603b\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u6076\u8da3\u5473\u7684\u4eba\u5bf9\u4e8e\u67d0\u66b4\u529b\u82f1\u96c4\u6709\u7279\u522b\u7684\u559c\u7231\u3002<\/p>\n
\u9ec4\u76d6 \u8f7b\u8eab\u4e3a\u56fd
\n\u82e6\u8089\uff1a\u51fa\u724c\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u53ef\u4e3b\u52a8\u51cf\u4e00\u70b9\u4f53\u529b\uff0c\u4ece\u724c\u5806\u4e24\u5f20\u724c\u3002\u5728\u81ea\u5df1\u56de\u5408\u53ef\u4ee5\u591a\u6b21\u4f7f\u7528\u8be5\u6280\u80fd\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6709\u4e86\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u6709\u5173\u9ec4\u76d6\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u5c31\u7b80\u5355\u591a\u4e86\u3002\u5148\u505a\u5982\u4e0b\u5047\u8bbe\uff1a
\n\u5047\u8bbe2. \uff08\u66b4\u529b\u9ec4\u76d6\u5047\u8bbe\uff09\u6240\u8003\u8651 \u7684\u9ec4\u76d6\u4f1a\u5728\u4efb\u4f55\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u65f6\u5c06\u81ea\u5df1\u53d8\u6210\u4e00\u6ef4\u8840\u7684\u72b6\u6001\u3002
\n\u4e8e\u662f\u6709\u63a8\u8bba
\n\u63a8\u8bba1. \u66b4\u529b\u9ec4\u76d6\u7684\u6240\u6709\u6843\u548c\u6843\u56ed\u7ed3\u4e49\u7b49\u4ef7\u4e8e\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6b64\u65f6\u6478\u5230\u201c\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\u201d\u7684\u6982\u7387p*=13\/109=0.119. \u5ffd\u7565\u9ec4\u76d6\u540c\u65f6\u6478\u5230\u4e09\u5f20\u201c\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\u201d\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\uff0c\u5ffd\u7565\u9ad8\u9636\u201c\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\u201d\uff0c\u5219\u66b4\u529b\u9ec4\u76d6\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u56de\u5408\u672a\u53d7\u6253\u51fb\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\u53ef\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u624b\u724c\u5e73\u5747\u6570\u8fd1\u4f3c\u4e3a\uff1a<\/p>\n
a=4+2+(4-1)\u00d72+12p*\u00d7(1-p*)^11\u00d72+(12\u90092)p*^2\u00d7(1-p*)^10\u00d74
\n=12+1.766<\/p>\n
\u8ba1\u7b97\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u624b\u4e2d\u521d\u59cb\u5f20\u6570\u5f88\u591a\uff0cp*\u4e5f\u4e0d\u662f\u5f88\u5c0f\uff0c\u9ad8\u9636\u201c\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\u201d\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5e76\u4e0d\u80fd\u5ffd\u7565\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5a\u53ea\u662f\u9ec4\u76d6\u624b\u724c\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e0b\u754c\uff0c\u7efc\u5408\u5404\u65b9\u9762\u56e0\u7d20\u7ed9 \u51fa\u4f30\u7b97\uff0c\u9ec4\u76d6\u7684\u521d\u59cb\u5e73\u5747\u624b\u724c\u5927\u7ea6\u4e3a15\u5f20\uff01 \u8bd5\u60f3\u4e00\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u4eba\u5750\u5728\u4e3b\u516c\u7684\u4e0b\u5bb6\u9ad8\u558a\u201c\u82cd\u5929\u5df2\u6b7b\uff0c\u9ec4\u5929\u5f53\u7acb\u201d\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e3b\u516c\u662f\u591a\u5927\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u3002\uff08\u4ee5\u540e\u5927\u5bb6\u4e0d\u8981\u518d\u9119\u89c6\u66b4\u529b\u9ec4\u76d6\u4e86…\uff09<\/p>\n
\u8ba8\u8bba\uff1a
\n\u672c\u6587\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86\u6709\u5173RP\u578b\u82f1\u96c4\u7684\u51e0\u4e2a\u6709\u542f\u53d1\u610f\u4e49\u7684\u6982\u7387\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u7504\u59ec\u548c\u5468\u6cf0\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u57fa\u672c\u662f\u7cbe\u786e\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u6709\u5173\u65e0\u4e2d\u751f\u6709\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u90fd\u662f\u8fd1\u4f3c\u7684\uff0c\u90fd\u6ca1\u6709\u8003\u8651\u4e94\u8c37\u4e30\u767b\u7684 \u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u9ec4\u76d6\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u8fd8\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u5e0c\u671b\u6709\u725b\u4eba\u80fd\u591f\u7ed9\u51fa\u9ec4\u76d6\u7684\u66f4\u52a0\u5408\u7406\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u7ed3\u679c<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u200d \u4e09\u56fd\u6740\u724c\u79cd\u5206\u7c7b \u4e09\u56fd\u6740\u4e00\u5171\u6709108\u5f20\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d30\u5f20\u6740\uff0821\u5f20\u9ed1\u6740\uff0c9\u5f20\u7ea2\u6740\uff0c70%\u9ed1\uff09\u300115\u95ea\uff08\u5168\u7ea2\uff09\u30018\u6843 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1480","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-default"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyle.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1480","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyle.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyle.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyle.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyle.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1480"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kyle.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1480\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3963,"href":"https:\/\/kyle.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1480\/revisions\/3963"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kyle.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1480"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyle.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1480"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kyle.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1480"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}